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It's all about what you pay for things, not the rate of inflation. As you say, a $4 cup of coffee is more than a $3 cup of coffee, even though $4 may eventually become the reference price. A perfect example is in the U.S. housing market, where despite the housing shortage, it all boils down to a comparison between monthly rent and monthly mortgage payment. Whichever is less is winning the race. Excellent analysis as always.

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